May 11, 2026 · Los Angeles, CA

Hawthorne Airport acquisition surfaced from primary source

Archer Aviation's December 2025 acquisition of Hawthorne Airport surfaced from a Form 8-K (Item 7.01) — extracted from SEC EDGAR before press coverage propagated. Classified as an LA-area infrastructure event and routed to the approvedVertiport factor via the audit gate.

The pipeline reads SEC filings as primary source. The signal was detected at filing time, not at press-coverage time.

May 10, 2026 · Phoenix, AZ

Phoenix flipped from EARLY (50) to MODERATE (65)

Two Arizona bills — air-mobility fund SB1457 and vertiport-zoning SB1819 — moved through committee on May 10. The pipeline classified both from primary-source legislative filings, anchored them to AIX identifiers aix:bill:MSMWIMSM and aix:bill:6W2SA6W2, and recorded the score change with a full audit-chain entry.

Tier change drove a Daily Wire-eligible market event. Audit trail preserved at the database level via immutable triggers.

May 6, 2026 · Miami, FL

First public prediction validated

AirIndex's Miami market readiness call resolved correctly on its scheduled window. First record in the public Predictions Ledger to verify.

The Predictions Ledger now carries one validated record and over 80 pending forward calls. Resolution windows continue through 2026, with the next validation event in mid-June.

Each entry above ties to source documents through the audit chain. Score changes are recorded as ScoringOverride rows with timestamped appliedAt / publishedAt / supersededAt states. Predictions are stored as PredictionRecord rows with resolution windows defined at issuance.

The full historical record is preserved — never edited, never deleted. Successor entries supersede earlier ones explicitly; the prior state remains queryable. This is the discipline rating agencies operate on, applied to emerging-infrastructure markets.

Public-prediction history surfaces at airindex.io/predictions. The complete audit chain underlying AirIndex scoring is described in the Publications library.